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Английский

Субтитры: Арабский, Украинский, Китайский (упрощенное письмо), Португальский (бразильский), Турецкий, Английский...

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ModelingEconomicsDecision-MakingStrategic Thinking

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Английский

Субтитры: Арабский, Украинский, Китайский (упрощенное письмо), Португальский (бразильский), Турецкий, Английский...

Программа курса: что вы изучите

Неделя
1
3 ч. на завершение

Why Model & Segregation/Peer Effects

In these lectures, I describe some of the reasons why a person would want to take a modeling course. These reasons fall into four broad categories: 1)To be an intelligent citizen of the world 2) To be a clearer thinker 3) To understand and use data 4) To better decide, strategize, and design. There are two readings for this section. These should be read either after the first video or at the completion of all of the videos.We now jump directly into some models. We contrast two types of models that explain a single phenomenon, namely that people tend to live and interact with people who look, think, and act like themselves. After an introductory lecture, we cover famous models by Schelling and Granovetter that cover these phenomena. We follows those with a fun model about standing ovations that I wrote with my friend John Miller. ...
12 видео ((всего 124 мин.)), 6 материалов для самостоятельного изучения, 1 тест
12 видео
Why Model?8мин
Intelligent Citizens of the World11мин
Thinking More Clearly10мин
Using and Understanding Data10мин
Using Models to Decide, Strategize, and Design15мин
Sorting and Peer Effects Introduction5мин
Schelling's Segregation Model11мин
Measuring Segregation11мин
Peer Effects6мин
The Standing Ovation Model18мин
The Identification Problem10мин
6 материала для самостоятельного изучения
Welcome10мин
Grading Policy10мин
Course FAQ10мин
Syllabus10мин
Help us learn more about you!10мин
Segregation and Peer Effects10мин
1 практическое упражнение
Why Model? & Segregation and Peer Effects12мин
Неделя
2
3 ч. на завершение

Aggregation & Decision Models

In this section, we explore the mysteries of aggregation, i.e. adding things up. We start by considering how numbers aggregate, focusing on the Central Limit Theorem. We then turn to adding up rules. We consider the Game of Life and one dimensional cellular automata models. Both models show how simple rules can combine to produce interesting phenomena. Last, we consider aggregating preferences. Here we see how individual preferences can be rational, but the aggregates need not be.There exist many great places on the web to read more about the Central Limit Theorem, the Binomial Distribution, Six Sigma, The Game of Life, and so on. I've included some links to get you started. The readings for cellular automata and for diverse preferences are short excerpts from my books Complex Adaptive Social Systems and The Difference Respectively....
12 видео ((всего 138 мин.)), 1 материал для самостоятельного изучения, 1 тест
12 видео
Aggregation10мин
Central Limit Theorem18мин
Six Sigma5мин
Game of Life14мин
Cellular Automata18мин
Preference Aggregation12мин
Introduction to Decision Making5мин
Multi-Criterion Decision Making8мин
Spatial Choice Models11мин
Probability: The Basics10мин
Decision Trees14мин
Value of Information8мин
1 материал для самостоятельного изучения
Decision Models10мин
1 практическое упражнение
Aggregation & Decision Models16мин
Неделя
3
3 ч. на завершение

Thinking Electrons: Modeling People & Categorical and Linear Models

In this section, we study various ways that social scientists model people. We study and contrast three different models. The rational actor approach, behavioral models, and rule based models . These lectures provide context for many of the models that follow. There's no specific reading for these lectures though I mention several books on behavioral economics that you may want to consider. Also, if you find the race to the bottom game interesting just type "Rosemary Nagel Race to the Bottom" into a search engine and you'll get several good links. You can also find good introductions to "Zero Intelligence Traders" by typing that in as well....
12 видео ((всего 130 мин.)), 1 материал для самостоятельного изучения, 1 тест
12 видео
Rational Actor Models16мин
Behavioral Models12мин
Rule Based Models12мин
When Does Behavior Matter?12мин
Introduction to Linear Models4мин
Categorical Models15мин
Linear Models8мин
Fitting Lines to Data11мин
Reading Regression Output11мин
From Linear to Nonlinear6мин
The Big Coefficient vs The New Reality11мин
1 материал для самостоятельного изучения
Categorical and Linear Models10мин
1 практическое упражнение
Modules Thinking Electrons: Modeling People & Categorical and Linear Models20мин
Неделя
4
3 ч. на завершение

Tipping Points & Economic Growth

In this section, we cover tipping points. We focus on two models. A percolation model from physics that we apply to banks and a model of the spread of diseases. The disease model is more complicated so I break that into two parts. The first part focuses on the diffusion. The second part adds recovery. The readings for this section consist of two excerpts from the book I'm writing on models. One covers diffusion. The other covers tips. There is also a technical paper on tipping points that I've included in a link. I wrote it with PJ Lamberson and it will be published in the Quarterly Journal of Political Science. I've included this to provide you a glimpse of what technical social science papers look like. You don't need to read it in full, but I strongly recommend the introduction. It also contains a wonderful reference list....
13 видео ((всего 132 мин.)), 1 материал для самостоятельного изучения, 1 тест
13 видео
Percolation Models11мин
Contagion Models 1: Diffusion7мин
Contagion Models 2: SIS Model9мин
Classifying Tipping Points8мин
Measuring Tips13мин
Introduction To Growth6мин
Exponential Growth10мин
Basic Growth Model13мин
Solow Growth Model11мин
Will China Continue to Grow?11мин
Why Do Some Countries Not Grow?11мин
Piketty's Capital: The Power of Simple Model8мин
1 материал для самостоятельного изучения
Economic Growth10мин
1 практическое упражнение
Modules Tipping Points & Economic Growth18мин
4.8
Рецензии: 271Chevron Right

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получил значимые преимущества в карьере благодаря этому курсу

Лучшие рецензии

автор: GKFeb 25th 2017

Great content and lectures, that possibly provides new dimensions to look/explain the situation in context, I guess I will comeback for references to continue with this journey in to 'Model Thinking'

автор: YKApr 7th 2018

The course presents a multitude of models that enable us to analyze human and systems behavior and interactions. By making implicit assumptions explicit we can understand real world processes better.

Преподаватели

Avatar

Scott E. Page

Professor of Complex Systems, Political Science, and Economics
Center for the Study of Complex Systems

О Мичиганский университет

The mission of the University of Michigan is to serve the people of Michigan and the world through preeminence in creating, communicating, preserving and applying knowledge, art, and academic values, and in developing leaders and citizens who will challenge the present and enrich the future....

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